基于CARES 310和IMbrave 150的免疫联合疗法治疗不可切除肝细胞癌的经济性评价

    Economic Evaluation of Immunotherapy Combinations for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on CARES 310 and IMbrave 150 Trials

    • 摘要:
      目的  对卡瑞利珠单抗联合阿帕替尼与阿替利珠单抗联合贝伐珠单抗用于一线治疗不可切除肝细胞癌的经济性展开评价。
      方法 采用IMbrave 150中国人群和CARES 310的试验数据,对比多种生存曲线的拟合模型,最终使用最优参数模型拟合生存曲线,使用分数多项式模型计算非恒定风险比进行间接比较;采用分区生存模型进行决策分析;进行单因素敏感性分析、概率敏感性分析,并绘制旋风图、成本-效用散点图及成本-效用可接受曲线。
      结果 卡瑞利珠单抗联合阿帕替尼组的总成本为117875元,总效用值为1.11 QALY;阿替利珠单抗联合贝伐珠单抗组总成本为633169元,总效用值为0.95 QALY。前者相对于后者的增量成本-效果比为3136265元·QALY−1,增量净货币效益为562489元,前者成本低于后者,且前者总效用值高于后者。
      结论 与阿替利珠单抗联合贝伐珠单抗相比,在中国人群中卡瑞利珠单抗联合阿帕替尼作为一线治疗不可切除肝细胞癌的方案具有经济学上的优势。

       

      Abstract:
      OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of camrelizumab plus rivoceranib versus atezolizumab plus bevacizumab as first-line treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.
      METHODS Data from the Chinese subgroup of the IMbrave 150 trial and the full CARES 310 trial were used. Several parametric survival models were compared, and the optimal model was selected to fit the survival curves. A fractional polynomial model was used to calculate time-varying hazard ratios for indirect comparison. A partitioned survival model was used for decision analysis. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed, and tornado diagrams, cost-utility scatter plots, and cost-utility acceptability curves were generated.
      RESULTS The camrelizumab plus rivoceranib group had a total cost of CNY 117875 and a total utility of 1.11 QALY; the atezolizumab plus bevacizumab group had a total cost of CNY 633169 and a total utility of 0.95 QALY. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for camrelizumab plus rivoceranib versus atezolizumab plus bevacizumab was CNY 3136265 per QALY gained, with an incremental net monetary benefit of CNY 562489. The camrelizumab-based regimen was less costly and yielded higher total utility compared with the atezolizumab-based regimen.
      CONCLUSION Compared with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab, camrelizumab plus rivoceranib as first-line treatment for unresectable HCC is economically advantageous in the Chinese population.

       

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